Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming

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Online TahoeBlue

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http://www.cnbc.com/id/100950234
Marc Faber: Look out! A 1987-style crash is coming

The S&P has rallied 19 percent in 2013, which is impressive by any measure. But the market did far better in 1987, when stocks added more than 30 percent from the beginning of the year to Aug. 8. The problem?

The market ended up tanking in the second half of that year—dropping 36 percent from the Aug. 25 peak to the October low, before closing out 1987 nearly exactly where it began.

And Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, predicts that the very same thing will happen in the back half of 2013.

"In 1987, we had a very powerful rally, but also earnings were no longer rising substantially, and the market became very overbought," Faber said on Thursday's "Futures Now." "The final rally into Aug. 25 occurred with a diminishing number of stocks hitting 52-week highs. In other words, the new-high list was contracting, and we have several breaks in different stocks."

Faber says that's exactly where we find ourselves this August.

"If you look at the last two days," Faber said, referring to Tuesday and Wednesday, "it's remarkable. We are close to the all-time high, at 1,709 on the S&P, and yet yesterday and the day before, there were 170 new 52-week lows. That's a very high figure."

...

So what kind of a decline does Faber predict, once all is said and done?

His year-end market call lives up to his "Dr. Doom" moniker. Faber expect to see stocks end the year "maybe 20 percent [lower], maybe more!"


http://new.gloomboomdoom.com/portalgbd/homegbd.cfm


http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/08/09/marc-wolf-faber-still-thinks-an-1987-style-crash-is-coming/
Why Marc ‘Wolf’ Faber still thinks a 1987-style crash is coming
August 9, 2013, 3:00 AM

Dr. Doom is doomish again.

Marc Faber, the author of “The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report,” says investors need to brace for a drop of 20% or more by the time 2013 closes, predicting a market fallout similar to what was seen in 1987.
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online jofortruth

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    • The Great Deception
Re: Marc Faber: A 1987-style crash is coming
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2013, 06:29:44 PM »
So, what happened in 1987? The big savings and loan scandal
http://z4.invisionfree.com/The_Great_Deception/index.php?showtopic=4578




Don't believe me. Look it up yourself!

Offline chris jones

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Re: Marc Faber: A 1987-style crash is coming
« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2013, 07:15:07 PM »
So, what happened in 1987? The big savings and loan scandal
http://z4.invisionfree.com/The_Great_Deception/index.php?showtopic=4578






   Jebby Bush..happened..........

Online TahoeBlue

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The Costs and Consequences of the 2007–09 Financial Crisis
« Reply #3 on: November 13, 2013, 01:33:00 PM »
http://dallasfed.org/assets/documents/research/staff/staff1301.pdf
How Bad Was It? The Costs and Consequences of the 2007–09 Financial Crisis
Tyler Atkinson Senior Research Analyst
David Luttrell Senior Economic Analyst and Special Assistant to the President
Harvey Rosenblum Executive Vice President and Director of Research

Abstract

The 2007–09 Financial crisis was associated with a huge loss of economic output and financial wealth, psychological consequences and skill atrophy from extended unemployment, an increase in government intervention, and other significant costs. Assuming the inancial crisis is to blame for these associated ills, an estimate of its cost is needed to weigh against the cost of policies intended to prevent similar episodes.

We conservatively estimate that 40 to 90 percent of one year’s output ($6 trillion to $14 trillion, the equivalent of $50,000 to $120,000 for every U.S. household) was foregone due to the 2007–09 recession.

We also provide several alternative measures of lost consumption, national trauma, and other negative consequences of the worst recession since the 1930s. This more comprehensive evaluation of factors suggests that what the U.S. gave up as a result of the crisis is likely greater than the value of one year’s output.


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/12/elizabeth-warren-obama-banks
Elizabeth Warren challenges Obama to break up 'too-big-to-fail' Wall St banks

Amid speculation that she might run against Hillary Clinton in 2016, firebrand senator attacks regulators for multiple failings

Dan Roberts in Washington
theguardian.com, Tuesday 12 November 2013 16.09 EST

...
We have got to get back to running this country for American families, not for its largest financial institutions," said Warren, who said the issue was an indictment of how little had changed since the 2008 banking crash.

The four biggest Wall Street banks are 30% larger than before the financial crisis, she said, while the five biggest institutions hold more than half the bank assets in the country.

Warren claimed this amounted to an $83bn-a-year taxpayer subsidy for some Wall Street institutions, because they were so large that they could safely rely on a government bailout in the event of a future crisis, and were therefore able to take bigger risks than rivals. She also cited research suggesting the crash had cost up to $14tn, or $120,000 for each American household.
...
"Where are we in making sure behemoth institutions on Wall Street can't bring down the economy again? And make wild gambles that suck up all the profits in the good times? And stick the taxpayer with the bill when it goes wrong?" she demanded.

"Three years since Dodd-Frank was passed, the biggest banks are bigger than ever, the risks to the system have grown and the market distortions continue."

She said current regulators do not give "much reason for confidence" and added: "It is time to act: the last thing we should do is wait for another crisis."
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Offline larsonstdoc

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Re: The Costs and Consequences of the 2007–09 Financial Crisis
« Reply #4 on: November 13, 2013, 01:53:45 PM »
http://www.onecitizenspeaking.com/2012/09/did-barack-obama-know-and-ignore-the-fact-that-elizabeth-warren-lied-about-being-an-indian-and-lacked-a-license-to-practice-l.html

  Elizabeth Warren is a slime ball like all the rest of the slimeballs.

September 25, 2012
DID BARACK OBAMA KNOW AND IGNORE THE FACT THAT ELIZABETH WARREN LIED ABOUT BEING AN INDIAN AND LACKED A LICENSE TO PRACTICE LAW?

Elizabeth Warren’s name was placed in nomination for a Senate-confirmed position as the head of the Consumer Financial Protection Agency. Although she failed confirmation multiple times, Obama and those vetting her nomination had to know about her phony minority status as an American Indian and that she was allegedly practicing law without a valid license. Or that she had been charged by some as having been accused of “scientific misconduct” when it came to her research work which supported positions adopted by the Obama Administration. What does this say about Warren, Obama and the democrats who accepted her with open arms?

Consider what Investor’s Business Daily is alleging …

Democrat Senate Hopeful Warren Exposed As Complete Fraud
On top of fraudulently claiming minority Indian status without any documented ancestry, the Harvard law professor has now been busted practicing law in Massachusetts without a state license.
She's also written scholarly papers on health care and bankruptcy without showing her data, and crafted federal health and banking regulations without a brain. Warren is the intellectual architect of the massively unpopular Dodd-Frank Act and ObamaCare, both of which are dragging down the U.S. recovery.
She's been accused by several law professors of "repeated instances of scientific misconduct" in authoring papers that have provided the academic underpinnings for financial and health reforms. Peer reviews have dismissed her research as "deeply flawed."
The Atlantic magazine, moreover, found a disturbing "pattern" of using bogus metrics to inflate the case for her leftist nostrums. Despite repeated requests, Warren has refused to provide the data she has used in her shabby research. In a word, she's a hack.
She's also a charlatan. In fact, in a new ad she doubles down on her oft-told lie that she's a Cherokee Indian, even while admitting she has zero proof "
Warren is a proven liar, hypocrite and fraud, and ought not darken the halls of the U.S. Senate as an expert witness let alone a member of that august body.
I'M A DEPLORABLE KNUCKLEHEAD THAT SUPPORTS PRESIDENT TRUMP.  MAY GOD BLESS HIM AND KEEP HIM SAFE.

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: The Costs and Consequences of the 2007–09 Financial Crisis
« Reply #5 on: November 13, 2013, 02:03:29 PM »
Quote
Elizabeth Warren is a slime ball like all the rest of the slimeballs

Yes the controlled opposition...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion
« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2014, 05:34:50 PM »
[ US Growth was just cut but the Stock market continues into uncharted territory...

But Jellin with yellin continues to pump money into the fed ]


DJIA 16,906.62  +98.13
updown S&P 500 1,956.98 +14.99
updown NASDAQ 4,362.84 +25.60

http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/06/15/blast-from-the-past-are-stocks-melting-up/
Blast From the Past: Could Stocks Melt Up?
Jun 15, 2014

Even after small declines last week, the major stock indexes remain near records. Money managers and analysts are beginning to talk about an idea that dates from the roaring ’90s: a rapid stock gain known as a melt-up.


In the late ’90s, people thought a melt-up, or a sudden double-digit percentage rise, was a fine thing. Set off by some exciting event, melt-ups feed on their own gains as people rush to avoid missing out. In late 1999 and early 2000, the Nasdaq Composite Index surged to 5000 from 3000 amid the Internet frenzy. It then collapsed.

Melt-ups, investors learned, can lead to meltdowns. This kind of concern helps explain last week’s dip.

Now, Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, is warning clients that the market could see “an unhealthy, speculative increase in asset prices,” which would leave stocks and bonds both vulnerable to sharp declines.

“If you get a melt-up it is going to take the market into overvalued territory,” Mr. Hartnett said. A negative surprise on economic growth, corporate earnings, Federal Reserve interest-rate policy or something else then could send stocks sharply down, he said.

...

With the Fed determined to support the economy, few people consider recession likely. So in most people’s minds, the Fed’s support means stocks can’t fall too far. That kind of confidence is good for stock prices, but it also removes some of the fear that normally keeps prices within reasonable bounds.

And that is why some people worry about a melt-up.
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melt Up
« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2014, 11:27:04 AM »
[ It seems the "meltup" is the result of the recent reduced cost or risk of Golden slacks ...
Here is this article from a couple of weeks ago ...  ]


http://www.cnbc.com/id/101741501
Five years later, do we face a market 'melt-up'?
Kelly Evans   | @Kelly_Evans
Sunday, 8 Jun 2014 | 9:24 PM ET

... perhaps the most telling development didn't make headlines last week.

It's a bit wonky, sure, but it's also important.

Read More› Rate hike depends on 'tight' economy: Fed's Powell

It's one of those so-called 'leading' indicators that investors watch to gauge the health and future direction of markets: the cost of insuring major U.S. financial firms against default.

This plunged last week. The cost of protecting Goldman Sachs, for instance, has fallen by half since October. It dropped by around 20 percent so far in June alone. Intuitively, brighter prospects for the nation's leading financial firms augur well for the broader economy. More practically, it has also been a key leading gauge of stock-market performance "for the last two up-and-down cycles," according to market analyst Brian Reynolds of Rosenblatt Securities.

"This is turning out to be one of the eight to twelve day periods of my 30-year career that will be indelibly burned into my brain," he said on Friday, referring to the credit market moves on Goldman and its peers.

Read More› US economy: Where is the money?

Does this "melt-up" of apparent creditworthiness signal a looming "melt-up" in stocks even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 have already more than doubled from their 2009 lows and are currently trading at all-time highs?

 Read More› Complacent markets: something to worry about?

Mr. Reynolds isn't the only one who has defied the bearishness that many traders and hedge-fund managers have repeatedly banked on this year. In April, Legg Mason's Bill Miller told CNBC that "you could shoot a dart at the stock market and anything you hit will be [trading] higher in six months," adding the usual conditions for a bad market – slowing growth, or rising interest rates – "simply don't exist."

When asked about his biggest stock market concern Mr. Miller said it was a market "melt-up" in the second half of this year as bearish investors capitulated. Any parabolic move higher as a result could create instability and undermine the health of a steadier market, he cautioned.
...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melt Up
« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2014, 12:37:05 PM »
Interesting that this has been talked about since at least January , (wish I had invested) with the prediction of a 2016 meltdown ....

http://streettalklive.com/daily-x-change/1927-the-coming-market-meltup-and-2016-recession.html
The Coming Market Meltup And 2016 Recession
Lance Roberts
Tuesday, 14 January 2014

It has been a bit of a bumpy ride for stocks as we kick off the New Year, however, it hasn't been a real disaster either.  Of course, you wouldn't know that by the hand wringing and whining going on with mainstream analysts and portfolio managers

As of this writing the S&P 500 has plummeted a whopping 0.66% to start the year.  It is simply amazing that with that kind of disaster occurring after a 30% rise in 2013 that the White House hasn't suggested a bailout for Wall Street. (Okay, while that was a little "over the top" you get the idea.)

Currently, the market remains in a very bullish uptrend and there is scant evidence, at the moment, that the current run is starting to end.  As I discussed previously in "Bernanke/Yellen To Drive Stocks 30% Higher:"

"That's right, despite all of the recent "bubble talk," it is entirely possible that stocks could rise 30% higher from here.  However, it is not because valuations are cheap because as I discussed in my recent analysis of Q3 earnings stocks are trading near 19x trailing earnings.

The primary reason that stocks are likely to climb 30% higher from current levels, over the next 24-months, is because that is what happens during the 'mania' phase of a bull market cycle.  This is something that Richard Russell recently defined as:

'The third or speculative phase of a bull market is characterized by a wild and wooly and ever-increasing entrance by the retail public. This phase is characterized by hot tips, hype and pure greed.'"

Of course, behind the speculative push higher in stocks resides the ongoing efforts of the Federal Reserve and the impact of the ongoing monetary liquidity push.  The chart below shows the Federal Reserve's balance sheet as compared to the S&P 500 with both being projected through the end of 2016.  The dashed lines denote the projected expansion of the balance sheet, and the correlated rise in asset prices, both before and after the Federal Reserve's most recent "taper."



A Correction First To Launch The Melt-Up

The current year is Presidential mid-term election year which has historically had implications for the stock market in the short term.  According to Jeffrey Hirsch of Stock Trader's Almanac:

Midterm election years are historically prone to bottoms, especially in October and 2014 is also a ‘fourth’ year, which has the fourth best record in the decennial cycle for 132 years. Of the last four midterm election years since the start of the Great Depression (1934, 1954, 1974, 1994) that were also fourth years, only 1954 was impressive.”

With the powerful rally in 2013, which had no real pause, it makes 2014 more vulnerable to a more significant correction.

...

Midterm election years are also notoriously weaker when Democrats are in control, but in the last 13 quadrennial cycles since 1961, 9 of the 16 bear markets bottomed in the midterm year.

...

This year, 2014, represents the fourth year of the current decade and has a decent track record. The markets have been positive 12 out of 18 times in the 4th year of the decade with an average return for the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1835 of 5.08%. Therefore, there is a 66% probability that the end will end positively; however, that does not exclude the possibility of a sharp dip somewhere along the way.

2015 - The Mania Year

However, looking ahead to 2015 is where things get interesting.  The decennial pattern is certainly suggesting that we take advantage of any major correction in 2014 to do some buying ahead of 2015.  As shown in the chart above, there is a very high probability (83%) that the 5th year of the decade will be positive with an average historical return of 21.47%.

...

Bull Mania & The Next Recession

It was in 1996 that Alan Greenspan first uttered the words "irrational exuberance" but it was four more years before the "bull mania" was completed.  The "mania" of crowds can last far longer than logic would dictate and especially when that mania is supported by artificial supports.

The statistical data suggests that the next economic recession will likely begin in 2016 with the negative market shock occurring late that year, or in 2017.   This would also correspond with the historical precedent of when recessions tend to begin during the decennial cycle.  As shown in the chart below the 3rd, 7th and 10th years of the cycle have the highest occurrence of recession starts.

...

There are plenty of reasons that that the market could lapse into a far bigger correction sooner than the historical evidence would otherwise suggest.  Such an event would not be the first time that an "anomaly" in the data has occurred.

...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Offline chris jones

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Re: Stock Market Melt Up
« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2014, 07:37:16 PM »
Hi T.
         2016 rings all kinds of bells. No predictions intended, only rumors I've heard -no source.

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melt Up
« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2014, 09:36:45 PM »
Hi T.
         2016 rings all kinds of bells. No predictions intended, only rumors I've heard -no source.


http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/06/07/nyregion/nyc-bid-for-2016-dnc.html?_r=0
New York City Bids for the 2016 Democratic National Convention


A June 5 letter from Mayor Bill de Blasio to the chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee. JUNE 6, 2014

http://www.amazon.com/The-Crash-2016-Destroy-America-ebook/dp/B00AFH1TBC
The Crash of 2016: The Plot to Destroy America--and What We Can Do to Stop It [Kindle Edition] Thom Hartmann  


The United States is more vulnerable today than ever before-including during the Great Depression and the Civil War-because the pillars of democracy that once supported a booming middle class have been corrupted, and without them, America teeters on the verge of the next Great Crash.

 The United States is in the midst of an economic implosion that could make the Great Depression look like child's play. In THE CRASH OF 2016, Thom Hartmann argues that the facade of our once-great United States will soon disintegrate to reveal the rotting core where corporate and billionaire power and greed have replaced democratic infrastructure and governance. Our once-enlightened political and economic systems have been manipulated to ensure the success of only a fraction of the population at the expense of the rest of us.

 The result is a "for the rich, by the rich" scheme leading to policies that only benefit the highest bidders. Hartmann outlines the destructive forces-planted by Lewis Powell in 1971 and come to fruition with the "Reagan Revolution"-that have looted our nation over the past decade, and how their actions fit into a cycle of American history that lets such forces rise to power every four generations.

...




http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FyK8xqfRhc
Thom Hartmann predicting US 2016 economic crash (11Nov13


http://truth-out.org/opinion/item/20378-the-banksters-are-now-setting-up-the-crash-of-2016
The Banksters Are Now Setting Up the Crash of 2016
  Monday, 02 December 2013 15:05    
By The Daily Take Team, The Thom Hartmann Program | Op-Ed

As the great Yogi Berra once said, "it's déjà vu all over again."

Right now, millions of Americans are still struggling to recover from the 2008 financial collapse.

That collapse was fueled by the housing crisis, when Wall Street banksters were running around betting on risky mortgage-backed securities that they could sell to investors and make billions from.

They were able to do that because the Graham-Leach-Bliley Act and the Commodities Futures Modernization Act had blown up rational banking regulations, and, as a result, we saw things like the so-called mortgage "liar loans".

Banksters were able to turn billions of dollars in risky mortgages into trillions of dollars in derivatives.

And then everything went to hell.
Fast forward to today, and because of Dodd-Frank there are no more "liar loans."
Banksters can't run the same scam as they did during the housing crisis.
So, they've found a new way to come up with real-estate-backed securities that can be turned into derivatives, worth billions in profits.

How? They've become landlords
...

| - - --

http://economiccollapsenews.com/2014/03/05/dow-to-crash-to-6000-by-2016-financial-author/

...

“I think we see another correction, crash, that is larger than the last one,” Harry Dent told the business news outlet Tuesday. “Every bubble — and these are bubbles — has taken us to new highs, and every crash has taken us to new lows. I think this will be the most dangerous period in people’s lives in investing.”

The author of “The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019″ explained that with aging workers on the verge of retirement it will likely put an intense strain on the federal and state governments’ resources. On top of this, younger workers won’t be spending enough to swap that stimulus.

“Generations spend and then they don’t,” Dent argued. “Governments are fighting that with massive stimulus, and it shows why the economy is so weak with so much stimulus. Demographics is the only way you can explain that.”

We reported in November that Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital, warned that the Dow will likely crash below 13,000 once the stock market realizes that the supposed economic recovery has been fallacious and bad monetary policy is the culprit for an artificial economy.

David Stockman, former budget director during the Reagan administration, also warned in a New York Times op-ed piece early last year entitled “State-Wrecked: The Corruption of Capitalism in America” that the stock market itself will crash.

“Over the last 13 years, the stock market has twice crashed and touched off a recession: American households lost $5 trillion in the 2000 dot-com bust and more than $7 trillion in the 2007 housing crash,” Stockman, who is now an investment banker, wrote. “Sooner or later – within a few years, I predict – this latest Wall Street bubble, inflated by an egregious flood of phony money from the Federal Reserve rather than real economic gains, will explode, too.”


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wgyZ9z02dYY
The Demographic Cliff- Looking Ahead
Harry Dent
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melt Up
« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2014, 06:20:02 PM »
"Cluster Of Central Banks" Have Secretly Invested $29 Trillion In The Market

"Cluster Of Central Banks" Have Secretly Invested $29 Trillion In The Market
15 June 2014
, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-06-15/cluster-central-banks-have-secretly-invested-29-trillion-market

Andrew Hoffman--Can $29 Trillion Keep The Stock Markets Up Forever? 16.Jun.14 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uuhFod3B2_8

19 June 2014, FSN GoldandSilver
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melt Up
« Reply #12 on: June 20, 2014, 06:32:24 PM »
29 Trillion known since 2011: ford foundation study  download ....

http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp_698.pdf
$29,000,000,000,000: A Detailed Look at the Fed’s Bailout by Funding Facility and Recipient
by James Felkerson
University of Missouri–Kansas City
December 2011
...

ABSTRACT

There have been a number of estimates of the total amount of funding provided by the Federal Reserve to bail out the financial system. For example, Bloomberg recently claimed that the cumulative commitment by the Fed (this includes asset purchases plus lending) was $7.77 trillion.

As part of the Ford Foundation project “A Research and Policy Dialogue Project on Improving Governance of the Government Safety Net in Financial Crisis,” Nicola Matthews and James Felkerson have undertaken an examination of the data on the Fed’s bailout of the financial system—the most comprehensive investigation of the raw data to date.

This working paper is the first in a series that will report the results of this investigation.

The extraordinary scope and magnitude of the recent financial crisis of 2007–09 required an extraordinary response by the Fed in the fulfillment of its lender-of-last-resort function. The purpose of this paper is to provide a descriptive account of the Fed’s response to the recent financial crisis. It begins with a brief summary of the methodology, then outlines the unconventional facilities and programs aimed at stabilizing the existing financial structure. The paper concludes with a summary of the scope and magnitude of the Fed’s crisis response.

The bottom line: a Federal Reserve bailout commitment in excess of $29 trillion.
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: The Costs and Consequences of the 2007–09 Financial Crisis
« Reply #13 on: July 13, 2014, 05:43:26 PM »
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/10965052/Bank-for-International-Settlements-fears-fresh-Lehman-crisis-from-worldwide-debt-surge.html
BIS chief fears fresh Lehman from worldwide debt surge

Jaime Caruana says investors are ignoring prospect of higher interest rates in the hunt for returns
By  Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
8:10PM BST 13 Jul 2014


The world economy is just as vulnerable to a financial crisis as it was in 2007, with the added danger that debt ratios are now far higher and emerging markets have been drawn into the fire as well, the Bank for International Settlements has warned.

...

Mr Caruana said the international system is in many ways more fragile than it was in the build-up to the Lehman crisis. Debt ratios in the developed economies have risen by 20 percentage points to 275pc of GDP since then.

Credit spreads have fallen to to wafer-thin levels. Companies are borrowing heavily to buy back their own shares. The BIS said 40pc of syndicated loans are to sub-investment grade borrowers, a higher ratio than in 2007, with ever fewer protection covenants for creditors
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2014, 10:27:16 AM »
http://www.moneynews.com/mktnews/billionaire-yellen-market-collapse/2014/07/21/id/583962/
Billionaire Warns: Yellen Collapse 'Will Be Unlike Any Other'
Tuesday, 22 Jul 2014 10:22 AM

Another horrific stock market crash is coming, and the next bust will be “unlike any other” we have seen.

 That’s the message from Jeremy Grantham, co-founder and chief investment strategist of GMO, a Boston-based firm with $117 billion in assets under management.

 Grantham pulls no punches when assigning responsibility for the coming financial carnage. In a recent interview with The New York Times, he calls Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen “ignorant” and says the Federal Reserve all but killed the economic recovery.

Grimly, he adds, “We have never had this before. It’s going to be very painful for investors.”

Grantham isn’t the only one worried about a market collapse.

“We have no right to be surprised by a severe and imminent stock market crash,” explains Mark Spitznagel, a hedge fund manager who is notorious for his hugely profitable billion-dollar bet on the 2008 crisis. “In fact, we must absolutely expect it."

 Billion-dollar investor Warren Buffett is rumored to be preparing for a crash as well. The “Warren Buffett Indicator,” also known as the “Total-Market-Cap to GDP Ratio,” is breaching sell-alert status and a collapse may happen at any moment.

...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2014, 10:30:11 AM »
http://blog.europacmetals.com/
The Consensus Is In – Market Ready to Crash (Video)
Posted on July 22, 2014 by admin
   
Peter Schiff appeared on Fox Business “Morning Bell” yesterday and discussed that when the stock bubble bursts, the Fed will likely try to save the bubble instead of the dollar.

The bottom is either going to drop out of the market or the dollar – and I’m betting actually that it’s the latter. But the problem is if the Federal Reserve is prepared to sacrifice the dollar in order to save the market, real returns on US assets are going to suffer dramatically as a result.”
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2014, 10:46:09 AM »
Of course, Greenspan is the guy that was in on the PLANNING and EXECUTION of this melt-down-up before Bernanke !
So is he saying the opposite? or is he giving himself cover from the disastrous future to come. Of course on the day of reckoning he and others, should be hung as the traitors they are , while the NWO will give them medals and awards ... 



http://www.marketwatch.com/story/greenspan-worries-about-false-dawns-fed-exit-2014-07-24
Greenspan says bubbles can’t be stopped without ‘crunch’
July 24, 2014, 8:44 a.m. EDT

Former Fed chairman worries about false dawns and the looming Fed exit
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has always been a student of the economy. Since the financial crisis, he’s become a student of human nature.

Sitting in his office with a view of the Washington Monument in the distance, Greenspan is eager to share the insight distilled in his recent book, “The Map and the Territory,” due out in paperback this fall.

Greenspan, 88, who was chairman of the U.S. central bank for more than 18 years, from 1987 to 2006, managed to steer the economy through [INTO] multiple crises, mainly by slashing rates and remaining upbeat. He suffered a remarkable fall from grace after leaving office and has apologized for trusting big banks too much. He has since gone back and re-examined his views on the economy.

...
MarketWatch: What is the biggest challenge facing the Fed?

Greenspan: How to unwind the huge increase in the size of its balance sheet with minimal impact. It is not going to be easy, and it is not obvious exactly how to do it.

...


Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #17 on: August 06, 2015, 01:11:21 PM »
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #18 on: August 07, 2015, 11:12:12 AM »
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 17,337.47 -82.28

DJIA 17,299.85 -119.90


Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #19 on: August 07, 2015, 02:49:37 PM »
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/07/stocks-are-a-disaster-waiting-to-happen-stockman.html
Stocks are a 'disaster waiting to happen': Stockman
Amanda Diaz   | @CNBCDiaz
7 Hours Ago

David Stockman has long warned that the stock market is on the verge of a massive collapse, and the recent price action has him even more convinced than ever that the bottom is about to fall out.

"I think it's pretty obvious that the top is in," the Reagan administration's OMB director said Thursday on CNBC's "Futures Now." The S&P 500 has traded in a historically narrow range for the better part of 2015, having moved just 1 percent higher year to date. "It's just waiting for the knee-jerk bulls, robo traders and dip buyers to finally capitulate."
...

| - - - -

related? :

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/08/07/record-93770000-americans-not-in-labor-force/
Record 93,770,000 Americans Not in Labor Force
by Caroline May7 Aug 2015

The number of people not in the labor force reached another record high in July, according to new jobs data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The BLS reports that 93,770,000 people (16 and older) were neither employed last month nor had made specific efforts to find work in the prior four weeks.

The number of people outside the workforce in July increased 144,000 over June’s record when 93,626,000 were not in the workforce.
...
While the labor participation rate remains at the lowest its been since the late 1970s, the BLS highlighted that the unemployment rate remained at 5.3 percent and nonfarm payroll jobs increased by 215,000.
...

| - - - -

http://usawatchdog.com/over-100-trillion-in-wealth-will-disappear-harry-dent/
Over $100 Trillion in Wealth Will Disappear-Harry Dent
By Greg Hunter On April 19, 2015 In Market Analysis 289 Comments

By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com  (Early Sunday Release)

Best-selling author Harry Dent says the stock bubble we have today is the biggest in history.  Dent contends, “Now we’re in a third bubble, and each of these bubbles peaks at higher highs, and then they each crash to lower lows.  We’ve been looking for the Dow to peak right around here between 17,000 and 19,000.  So, we are right in the middle.  We are looking for an even bigger correction likely in late 2016 to 2017.  This whole thing has been in an artificial bubble. . . . We’d be in a depression right now if it were not for $11 trillion or $12 trillion free money printed out of nowhere.  So, this is an artificial environment, and this has never happened before.  The charts look to me that we are at a top, or after a 20% correction, a top later this year.”

Dent goes on to say, “I think the crash is finally going to start this year, but it will be at its worst in late 2016 early 2017. . . . I expect new lows on the Dow, and I think it will go to 5,500 or 6,000 in this next crash.”

Dent thinks deflation is what’s coming, not hyper-inflation.  Dent predicts, “When debt is restructured and financial asset bubbles burst, you are destroying.  I’m estimating over $100 trillion in wealth will disappear.  When you create money by magic and QE and bank loans, it can disappear like magic.  Now you see it, now you don’t.  When that money disappears, there’s fewer dollars chasing the same goods.  That’s deflation, and gold is not going to like that.”
...
At the peak of the debt bubble, we had $10 trillion in federal government debt and $42 trillion in private debt. It’s not so much the Treasury bonds held outside the United States, its dollar denominated loans

...

https://youtu.be/0a6LMvzRwSQ
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #20 on: August 10, 2015, 12:32:04 PM »
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #21 on: August 11, 2015, 11:24:27 AM »
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 17,410.12  -205.05

DJIA 17,386.44 -228.73
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #22 on: August 12, 2015, 11:06:43 AM »
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #23 on: August 19, 2015, 11:51:56 AM »
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #24 on: August 19, 2015, 12:50:41 PM »
worries of the past ... 1937 ,,,,

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/18/st-louis-fed-official-no-evidence-qe-boosted-economy.html
St. Louis Fed official: No evidence QE boosted economy

Jeff Cox   | @JeffCoxCNBCcom
Tuesday, 18 Aug 2015 | 12:46 PM ET

The Federal Reserve is putting some of its post-crisis actions under a magnifying glass and not liking everything it sees.

In a white paper dissecting the U.S. central bank's actions to stem the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009, Stephen D. Williamson, vice president of the St. Louis Fed, finds fault with three key policy tenets.

Specifically, he believes the zero interest rates in place since 2008 that were designed to spark good inflation actually have resulted in just the opposite. And he believes the "forward guidance" the Fed has used to communicate its intentions has instead been a muddle of broken vows that has served only to confuse investors. Finally, he asserts that quantitative easing, or the monthly debt purchases that swelled the central bank's balance sheet past the $4.5 trillion mark, have at best a tenuous link to actual economic improvements.

Williamson is quick to acknowledge that then-Chairman Ben Bernanke's Fed, through liquidity programs like the Term Auction Facility that injected cash into banks, "helped to assure that the Fed's Great Depression errors were not repeated."
...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Offline chris jones

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #25 on: August 19, 2015, 03:36:18 PM »
Hi T.
         You did your homework on that,, BUMPED!!!!!!!+++++++++=

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #26 on: August 20, 2015, 11:55:05 AM »
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 17,138.54  -210.19

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/20/us-stocks-open-lower-as-oil-slide-growth-concerns-weigh.html
Stocks plunge 1% as Street eyes Fed, oil
Evelyn Cheng   | @chengevelyn
16 Mins Ago
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #27 on: August 20, 2015, 03:42:10 PM »
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 17,090.00  -258.73

update: at close:

DJIA 16,990.69 -358.04
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #28 on: August 21, 2015, 10:43:42 AM »
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,782.18 -208.51
...

update:

DJIA 16,707.85 -282.84

UPDATE:

DJIA 16,631.62 -359.07

Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #29 on: August 21, 2015, 03:11:34 PM »
update:

Dow Jones Indices: .DJI - Aug 21 3:15 PM ET
16,531.33  - 459.36 (2.70%)


at close:

16,459.88 - 530.81 (3.12%)
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #30 on: August 24, 2015, 11:16:06 AM »
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
Dow Jones Industrial Average 2 Minute
Dow Jones Indices: .DJI - Aug 24 11:19 AM ET
16,007.97 -451.78 (2.74%)


http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tense-day-for-wall-street-ahead-as-china-stocks-tank-85-2015-08-24
Dow sees 1,000-point plunge at open, but bounces off lows
Published: Aug 24, 2015 10:09 a.m. ET

The Dow plunged 1,000 points at the start of Monday trading but has pared some of its steepest losses in a harrowing early start to trading for global stock markets, following a Friday rout which saw U.S. stocks suffer their biggest weekly declines in four years
...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -2.76%  dropped more than 1,000 points, but was trading off its lows, down 617 points, or 3.7%, at 15,855.

| - --
update: looks like the dow will close at around 16000

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,015.40 -444.35

whoops:

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 15,829.36  -630.39

Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #31 on: August 25, 2015, 05:02:06 PM »
dang down again - how could that be ?

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 15,666.44  -204.91

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EVIX
VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX) -Chicago Options  Watchlist
36.02 Down 4.72(11.59%)  4:14PM EDT

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/25/us-markets-attempt-recovery.html
DOW, S&P CLOSE LOWER IN BIGGEST REVERSAL SINCE OCT. 08
Evelyn Cheng   | @chengevelyn
1 Hour Ago
...
The Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 closed about 1.3 percent lower after rallying nearly 3 percent earlier, their biggest reversal to the downside since Oct. 29, 2008. The S&P 500 remained in correction territory after falling there on Monday. The index also posted its first six-day losing streak since July 2012.

"That crash (Monday) was so big and so long since we had one (investors) don't want a repeat of 2008 so they bail out," said Lance Roberts, general partner at STA Wealth Management.
...

...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #32 on: August 26, 2015, 05:00:56 PM »
up again ... real steady eh?

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,285.51 +619.07
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #33 on: August 26, 2015, 08:15:49 PM »
Hyper-inflation then collapse.......

The Nefilim plan.....

Offline chris jones

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #34 on: August 26, 2015, 10:16:31 PM »
 Inflation, you bet. They controll, water, food, energy, transportation, communications, and their planners , contrators & money---------------- What do we controll.

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #35 on: September 01, 2015, 01:24:20 PM »
woops... just-in-time for armegeddon ...
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,113.79 -414.24
DJIA 16,058.35  -469.68  close ....
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #36 on: September 04, 2015, 10:59:47 AM »
They like the dow at 16000 for now hmmm...
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,134.35  -240.41
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #37 on: September 15, 2015, 08:01:53 PM »
So someone got the inside info that the fed was NOT raisin da rates? hmmm...

Notice this article worries over the "emerging" market economies ... not a problem for the western world? or is that the emerging economy now?


http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,599.85 +228.89

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11867177/Fed-tightening-threatens-disaster-for-debt-saturated-global-economy.html
Fed tightening 'threatens disaster for debt saturated global economy'

A rise in US interest rates may be justified by conditions in the domestic economy, but it could have profoundly destructive consequences for many emerging market economies



By  Jeremy Warner
7:01PM BST 15 Sep 2015

...

... If the Open Market’s Committee takes the plunge, it will be the first US rate hike in nearly 10 years.
For much of this time, rates have remained close to zero. Admittedly, a rise of just 0.25 percentage points would, to most people, seem neither here nor there.

...

Yet unfortunately for the Fed’s Open Markets Committee, it is not just the impact on their own economy that they have to worry about. The dollar’s dominant reserve currency status makes this a defining moment for the global economy as a whole. If Committee members bury their heads in the sand, and treat it as solely a domestic matter, the decision may come back to bite them on the ankles.

...
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

Online TahoeBlue

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #38 on: September 24, 2015, 12:05:51 PM »
Exuberance extinguished ...

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
DJIA 16,078.06  -201.83
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5

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Re: Stock Market Melts Up - with FEDRES 29 Trillion - Crash coming
« Reply #39 on: September 28, 2015, 03:55:26 PM »
After Super Blood Moon ... no joy ... Trump proposes taxes on HighFreqTraitors Offshore Trillions of Multi-Trash-anyls

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
16,002.03  -312.64
Behold, happy is the man whom God correcteth: therefore despise not thou the chastening of the Almighty: For he maketh sore, and bindeth up: he woundeth, and his hands make whole ; He shall deliver thee in six troubles: yea, in seven there shall no evil touch thee. - Job 5