Author Topic: People Not In Labor Force Soar, Labor Force Participation Rate Lowest Since 1981  (Read 1162 times)

Offline Letsbereal

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People Not In Labor Force Soar By 522,000, Labor Force Participation Rate Lowest Since 1981
4 May 2012
, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/people-not-labor-force-soar-522000-labor-force-participation-rate-lowest-1981

It is just getting sad now.

In April the number of people not in the labor force rose by a whopping 522,000 from 87,897,000 to 88,419,000. This is the highest on record.

The flip side, and the reason why the unemployment dropped to 8.1% is that the labor force participation rate just dipped to a new 30 year low of 64.3%.


Labor force participation Rate:



People not in labor force:



Also See:

St. Louis Fed's "Not In Labor Force" Data Is Now Officially Off The Chart
4 May 2012
, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/its-official-st-louis-feds-not-labor-force-data-officially-chart
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Offline Letsbereal

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How To Predict Today's Non-Farm Payroll Number With Planck Constant Precision
4 May 2012
, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/how-predict-todays-non-farm-payroll-number-planck-constant-precision

Excerpt:

With everyone and their mother scrambling to come up with some utterly meaningless number. Why is it meaningless?

Because From January to March seasonal adjustments have "added" 4,477,000 jobs, and the monthly error interval is 100,000, to game the headline.

Also See:

The Addbacks: +22K From Seasonal; +206K From Birth Death
4 May 2012
, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/addbacks-22k-seasonal-206k-birth-death
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Offline Letsbereal

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Offline Geolibertarian

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Re: Santelli On Propaganda And Ostrich Economics - Vid
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2012, 09:47:48 pm »
Santelli On Propaganda And Ostrich Economics

Santelli is the last person who has any rightful business lecturing anyone about deception-based "propaganda":

For those who don't remember (or were never familiar with) this story, check out the following article:

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http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Stewart_ignites_populism_against_CNBC_0305.html

'I find cheap populism oddly arousing' Stewart mocks CNBC

by David Edwards and Rachel Oswald
The Raw Story
March 5, 2009

Daily Show host Jon Stewart took aim Wednesday at newly minted populist and former derivatives trader Rick Santelli, after he abruptly canceled a guest appearance on his show.

Stewart delighted his audience by running through a stream of bad business predictions by Santelli’s own network, CNBC.

Santelli recently garnered conservative applause for a televised rant against President Obama’s proposal to help homeowners in danger of loosing their homes through foreclosure.

“Yea, man, Wall Street is mad as hell and they’re not going to take it anymore, unless by it you mean $2 trillion dollars in their own bailout money. That they will take,” Stewart sarcastically opined.

Stewart then got his audience riled up over calls for Santelli to come on his show.

“How many people would have liked to see Santelli come on this program?,” called Stewart to rousing cheers from the audience. “Are you listening Rick Santelli?"

Joked Stewart, “I have to say I find cheap populism oddly arousing.”

“So to all you dumb-ass homeowners out there who let your optimism and bad judgment blind you to accepting money that was offered to you by banks – educate yourselves,” Stewart said, in a mockery of comments made by Santelli.

Stewart followed this statement with scenes of some choice reporting by CNBC where commentators and reporters were shown to be heralding the strength of banks like Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch not long before they went under and predicting the rebounding of the financial markets last year, though they continued to steadily decline.

“It’s not rocket science homeowners. It’s apparently alchemy,” Stewart said. “You just had to tune into CNBC shows.”

[Continued...]

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Santelli's "televised rant" was quite revealing, and not just for what it said, but for what it conveniently omitted. This becomes obvious when one considers a few basic facts.

Take the issue of subprime mortgages. How large was the subprime mortgage bubble before the financial meltdown of 2008?

While searching for the answer to that question, I consistently found information such as the following:

"Total subprime mortgage debt outstanding is about $1.3 trillion." -- http://www.cavinessfinancial.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=64&Itemid=1

"Although subprime and other risky mortgages were relatively rare before the mid-1990s, their use increased dramatically during the subsequent decade. In 2001, newly originated subprime, Alt-A, and home equity lines (second mortgages or "sec­onds") totaled $330 billion and amounted to 15 per­cent of all new residential mortgages. Just three years later, in 2004, these mortgages accounted for almost $1.1 trillion in new loans and 37 percent of residen­tial mortgages. Their volume peaked in 2006 when they reached $1.4 trillion and 48 percent of new res­idential mortgages." -- http://www.heritage.org/research/economy/bg2127.cfm



Now, if, as some keep insisisting, the financial crisis is entirely (or at least primarily) the fault of subprime mortgages, then how does one explain this?

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http://www.infowars.com/cost-of-bailout-hits-a-whopping-24-trillion-dollars/

Cost Of Bailout Hits A Whopping $24 Trillion Dollars

Paul Joseph Watson
Prison Planet.com
Monday, July 20, 2009

According to the watchdog overseeing the federal government’s financial bailout program, the full exposure since 2007 amounts to a whopping $23.7 trillion dollars, or $80,000 for every American citizen.

The last time we were able to get a measure of the total cost of the bailout, it stood at around $8.5 trillion dollars. Eight months down the line and that figure has almost tripled.

The $23.7 trillion figure comprises “about 50 initiatives and programs set up by the Bush and Obama administrations as well as by the Federal Reserve,” according to the Associated Press.

[Continued...]

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If the subprime mortgage bubble was never any higher than $1.4 trillion, then why is the cost of the "bailout" so much higher?

Could it be that certain people don't want us asking that question, since an honest search for the true answer inevitably brings one face-to-face with the derivatives bubble?



And could it also be that the reason these same people consistently refuse to even mention the word "derivatives" is that derivatives are entirely the creation of Wall Street speculators, and so cannot be attributed to any of the unwise borrowing decisions that cash-strapped wage-earners may have made -- and are thus of no public relations value to those intent on scapegoating the poor for the crimes of the rich?

Read the following and decide for yourself:

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IT’S THE DERIVATIVES, STUPID!
WHY FANNIE, FREDDIE AND AIG ALL HAD TO BE BAILED OUT


Ellen Brown, September 18, 2008
www.webofdebt.com/articles/its_the_derivatives.php

“I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men.”
– Sir Isaac Newton, after losing a fortune in the South Sea bubble


Something extraordinary is going on with these government bailouts.  In March 2008, the Federal Reserve extended a $55 billion loan to JPMorgan to “rescue” investment bank Bear Stearns from bankruptcy, a highly controversial move that tested the limits of the Federal Reserve Act.  On September 7, 2008, the U.S. government seized private mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and imposed a conservatorship, a form of bankruptcy; but rather than let the bankruptcy court sort out the assets among the claimants, the Treasury extended an unlimited credit line to the insolvent corporations and said it would exercise its authority to buy their stock, effectively nationalizing them.  Now the Federal Reserve has announced that it is giving an $85 billion loan to American International Group (AIG), the world’s largest insurance company, in exchange for a nearly 80% stake in the insurer . . . .

The Fed is buying an insurance company?  Where exactly is that covered in the Federal Reserve Act?  The Associated Press calls it a “government takeover,” but this is not your ordinary “nationalization” like the purchase of Fannie/Freddie stock by the U.S. Treasury.  The Federal Reserve has the power to print the national money supply, but it is not actually a part of the U.S. government.  It is a private banking corporation owned by a consortium of private banks.  The banking industry just bought the world’s largest insurance company, and they used federal money to do it.  Yahoo Finance reported on September 17:

    “The Treasury is setting up a temporary financing program at the Fed’s request. The program will auction Treasury bills to raise cash for the Fed’s use. The initiative aims to help the Fed manage its balance sheet following its efforts to enhance its liquidity facilities over the previous few quarters.”

Treasury bills are the I.O.U.s of the federal government.  We the taxpayers are on the hook for the Fed’s “enhanced liquidity facilities,” meaning the loans it has been making to everyone in sight, bank or non-bank, exercising obscure provisions in the Federal Reserve Act that may or may not say they can do it.  What’s going on here?  Why not let the free market work?  Bankruptcy courts know how to sort out assets and reorganize companies so they can operate again.  Why the extraordinary measures for Fannie, Freddie and AIG?  

The answer may have less to do with saving the insurance business, the housing market, or the Chinese investors clamoring for a bailout than with the greatest Ponzi scheme in history, one that is holding up the entire private global banking system.  What had to be saved at all costs was not housing or the dollar but the financial derivatives industry; and the precipice from which it had to be saved was an “event of default” that could have collapsed a quadrillion dollar derivatives bubble, a collapse that could take the entire global banking system down with it.

The Anatomy of a Bubble

Until recently, most people had never even heard of derivatives; but in terms of money traded, these investments represent the biggest financial market in the world.  Derivatives are financial instruments that have no intrinsic value but derive their value from something else.  Basically, they are just bets.  You can “hedge your bet” that something you own will go up by placing a side bet that it will go down.  “Hedge funds” hedge bets in the derivatives market.  Bets can be placed on anything, from the price of tea in China to the movements of specific markets.  

“The point everyone misses,” wrote economist Robert Chapman a decade ago, “is that buying derivatives is not investing.  It is gambling, insurance and high stakes bookmaking.  Derivatives create nothing.”  They not only create nothing, but they serve to enrich non-producers at the expense of the people who do create real goods and services.  In congressional hearings in the early 1990s, derivatives trading was challenged as being an illegal form of gambling.  But the practice was legitimized by Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, who not only lent legal and regulatory support to the trade but actively promoted derivatives as a way to improve “risk management.”  Partly, this was to boost the flagging profits of the banks; and at the larger banks and dealers, it worked.  But the cost was an increase in risk to the financial system as a whole.

Since then, derivative trades have grown exponentially, until now they are larger than the entire global economy.  The Bank for International Settlements recently reported that total derivatives trades exceeded one quadrillion dollars – that’s 1,000 trillion dollars.  How is that figure even possible?  The gross domestic product of all the countries in the world is only about 60 trillion dollars.  The answer is that gamblers can bet as much as they want.  They can bet money they don’t have, and that is where the huge increase in risk comes in.    

Credit default swaps (CDS) are the most widely traded form of credit derivative.  CDS are bets between two parties on whether or not a company will default on its bonds.  In a typical default swap, the “protection buyer” gets a large payoff from the “protection seller” if the company defaults within a certain period of time, while the “protection seller” collects periodic payments from the “protection buyer” for assuming the risk of default.  CDS thus resemble insurance policies, but there is no requirement to actually hold any asset or suffer any loss, so CDS are widely used just to increase profits by gambling on market changes.  In one blogger’s example, a hedge fund could sit back and collect $320,000 a year in premiums just for selling “protection” on a risky BBB junk bond. The premiums are “free” money – free until the bond actually goes into default, when the hedge fund could be on the hook for $100 million in claims.  

And there’s the catch: what if the hedge fund doesn’t have the $100 million?  The fund’s corporate shell or limited partnership is put into bankruptcy; but both parties are claiming the derivative as an asset on their books, which they now have to write down.  Players who have “hedged their bets” by betting both ways cannot collect on their winning bets; and that means they cannot afford to pay their losing bets, causing other players to also default on their bets.  

The dominos go down in a cascade of cross-defaults that infects the whole banking industry and jeopardizes the global pyramid scheme.  The potential for this sort of nuclear reaction was what prompted billionaire investor Warren Buffett to call derivatives “weapons of financial mass destruction.”  It is also why the banking system cannot let a major derivatives player go down, and it is the banking system that calls the shots.  The Federal Reserve is literally owned by a conglomerate of banks; and Hank Paulson, who heads the U.S. Treasury, entered that position through the revolving door of investment bank Goldman Sachs, where he was formerly CEO.  

[Continued...]

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"Abolish all taxation save that upon land values." -- Henry George

"If our nation can issue a dollar bond, it can issue a dollar bill." -- Thomas Edison

http://webofdebt.com
http://schalkenbach.org
http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=203330.0

Offline Letsbereal

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Max Keiser: Unemployment numbers are ‘propaganda’ - Vid
« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2012, 09:38:41 am »
Max Keiser: Unemployment numbers are ‘propaganda’ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bxcyZYa5Hs
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Offline Constitutionary

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Yeah the FED pays banks NOT to make loans and unemployemt remains high.  Gee what are the odds.    >:(


FED PAYING Banks To Withhold Loans From Citizens
 
The FED paying banks not to use their excess capitol to make loans. ... Banks excess reserves at the Fed rose to a record $877.1 Billion daily average ... from 2 Billion a year earlier. ... The FED is paying banks higher int rates to keep their funds parked at the FED instead of loaning the money to the American people.
 
 
http://amrpt.tv/video/Fed-PAYING-Banks-To-Withhold-Lo;State-Of-The-Union
 
 
http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=230956.0;topicseen





U.S. Real Unemployment 42%!!!
 
Guest Post: Illusion Of Recovery - Feelings Versus Facts
6 February 2012, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-illusion-recovery-feelings-versus-facts

There are 242 million working age Americans. Only 142 million Americans are working.

That means 100 million working age Americans (41.5%) are not working.
 
http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=228038.0;topicseen