CIA Handbook on Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

[Dig]

Guess what...

THERE IS NO SECTION ON MAKING SURE THE INFORMATION IS TRUTHFUL! ONLY ON HOW TO MANIPULATE ANY PSYCHOANALYZE DATA. IN FACT, NOTHING IS TRUTHFUL OR GOOD OR BAD, IT IS ALL ABOUT "THINKING ABOUT THINKING" [WTF?] CIA - WHAT HAPPENED TO YOU GUYS, YOU USED TO ACTUALLY HAVE BRAINS!

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
Richards J. Heuer, Jr.
------------------
History Staff
Center for the Study of Intelligence
Central Intelligence Agency
1999

http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/psych-intel/

Table of Contents

Author's Preface

Foreword by Douglas MacEachin

Introduction by Jack Davis

PART I--OUR MENTAL MACHINERY
Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking
Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can't We See What Is There to Be Seen?
Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know?

PART II--TOOLS FOR THINKING
Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information
Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?
Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind
Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems
Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

PART III--COGNITIVE BIASES
Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases?
Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence
Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect
Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities
Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting

PART IV--CONCLUSIONS

[chris jones]

 A guy I knew use to say, the CIA is Aba daba land. I never did get his full take on why he used that term.
 An old acquaintance of mine was affiliated with the agency, he had met with a guy named Colby, an x director. His take was the man was not human, could have been a robot in a skin suit.
 Not all CIA employees are brain rigged, many simply do a specific job with limited clearance comparable to any firm. Even some guys with a higher level are sincerely convinced they are saving the nation, and in a percentae of some cases they are.
 Analysts, contracted high brows etc in my opinion are very well paid and very involved in the intelligence community. However do they get the whole deal, this package they drew up seems to say to me they are students of human nature, that may sound ridiculous but I can't shake it.
 The separation of normal human tendency's and the dissection of the masses as if we were frogs on a slab in high school biology class. A step above their level gets into the political end and elite influence.          The TDY's and contractors are an alltogether different game.