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Author Topic: Analysis: Ireland to struggle even with deadline extension  (Read 386 times)
Letsbereal
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« on: November 30, 2010, 03:43:53 AM »

Analysis: Ireland to struggle even with deadline extension
30 November 2010
, by Carmel Crimmins - Dublin (Reuters)
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6AT1C020101130

Excerpt:

The extension of Ireland's deadline for plugging its budgetary black hole has underlined just how optimistic its growth forecasts were and the threat of a prolonged recession which would make its debt targets even harder to achieve.

The European Commission forecast on Monday that Irish gross domestic product (GDP) would grow by just 0.9% next year, roughly half the level penciled in by the government just a few weeks ago, and a fraction of the 3.25% Dublin was originally forecasting.

Brussels' bleaker assessment shows why it and the International Monetary Fund gave Ireland an extra year, until 2015, to get the worst budget deficit in Europe back within the EU's 3% limit, as part of their 85 billion euro rescue package.

Even the extra room for maneuver may not be enough given that Ireland needs to impose unprecedented cutbacks and tax increases, totaling 15 billion euros over four years, as part of the bailout deal.

"I thought on previous experience of the IMF going into other countries that the IMF wouldn't want to leave a corpse behind, it would want to revive the Irish economy," said Pat Rabbitte, the opposition Labour party's spokesman on justice.

"I'm not sure if this deal can be delivered on. I'm puzzled as to how we can make it work," Rabitte said.

Economists have warned that a renewed cycle of austerity, on top of two preceding years of cutbacks, risks tipping Ireland into a prolonged downturn, affecting its ability to raise enough tax revenues to get its deficit below the EU threshold by 2015, let alone 2014.
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->>>|:-) THE CITY INDIANS (-:|<<<-
Protean
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« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2010, 09:29:44 AM »


http://www.henrymakow.com/ireland_the_revolt_has_started.html

Ireland -- The Revolt has Started!

by Irish Dan
(for henrymakow.com)

Irish Dan is a former Sinn Fein activist and National Exectuive member, involved in the Irish Revolutionary Movement from 1969 up to recent
years.

 
Part one, general background.

Ireland is burst, broke, finished, kaput!  This story has dominatied the World Media for over two years and has reached a deafening crescendo in recent days. Like most of what we read in the media ,it is lies, disinformation and propaganda. The facts are far different!

Ireland as such was not broke, our runaway squander mania banks were! The international financial markets are attempting to get the Irish Taxpayer to foot the bill. 

I have never seen Irish people from all walks of society so totally fustrated, annoyed and disquieted.
http://www.irishcentral.com/news/Over-50000-protest-on-Dublins-streets-110903879.html

 Now all of that is giving way to raw anger and a grim determination to get this shower of inept politicians out at all cost. As a people we are collectively better than this and we know it !

Fianna Fail have been in power with the exception of a few brief interludes for eighty years. They have doled out appointments from school janitors to Superior Courts Justices in public life and and awarded contracts to the butcher, the baker and the candlestick maker, provided they help fund the party of course.

FF rewarded supporters by stuffing public service supervisory boards with cronies, all was a 'brown envelope stuffed with cash, no questions asked' culture. Few of these supervisory boards did their job and the party individuals did what the party wanted, hence the current stymied, nonfunctioning, unaccountable mess. The banks were but the most blatant example of this rampant corrupt cronyism.

Part two, Ireland the real financial and other productive situation.

We are a population of around four and a half million people......
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ireland
...... in the Irish Republic. We have a pension fund of seventeen billion euros invested and untouched. That was always ring fenced, earnings from that could comfortabley service around four hundred and seventy thousand pensioners, (Central Statics Office )...... http://www.cso.ie/Quicktables ......

Our head of Government is still paying himself over twice President Obama's salary and our Parliamentarians in this country of four and a half million are still paid well ahead of the US. Congress and Senate members.

There was a very smug financial round robin at work here for decades,. The politicians did not actually award themselves high wages, goodness no,. The politicians pay rates were pro rata to Senior Civil Servant rates of pay. Guess who set the civil servants rates of pay ?

We are getting 10 billion which the European Central Bank deems sufficient  to re capitalize our banks for the whole Irish lending economy Irish cash flow. Irish nationals have one hundred and ninety billion invested in foreign assets at this time.

Domestic savings now stand at 12.3%. Inward investment for real assets and industry remains strong. Industrial cost are down 7% and still falling. Industrial output is up 12% on two years back and this year like as not 16 % up on last year. Our balance of payments are actually moving to surplus, tax revenue is on target month on month for most of this year. Ireland had around eight months funds still in reserves to run the country before going to the markets in late Spring or early summer of 2011 to sell more government bonds and refinance.

Do this look like the Ireland you have been reading about ?

Part three: Banks, bondholders and bullshit !

If Ireland was in a relatively good situation then why all the International badmouthing, market rumors and undermining of Irelands position ? In a word Bondholders !

They risked their capital in a building and property bubble that they knew was little more than a ponzi scheme. They did so as they knew that when the bubble burst they had enough financial clout to force Ireland to guarantee their bonds,.This is where the media disinformation and distortion of real situation came from.

So who are these primary bond holders that the Irish Taxpayers and Unemployed workers are now bailing out ? One such outfit is Millhouse. The owner is Roman Abramovich,......
http://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcfour/documentaries/profile/abramovich.shtml
..... he owns Chelsea football club in England and he is Russia's fourth richest man !  In 2005 he was one top fifty wealthiest people in the world.

Hardly surprising then that the New York Times found the idea preposterous and stupid beyond the power of words to describe.

http://www.irishcentral.com/news/Irelands-bailout-is-Worse-than-a-Crime-says-NY-Times-columnist-110850374.html
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Protean
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2010, 09:31:25 AM »

Webster Tarpley has an excellent analysis of Ireland's situation on his recent show World Crisis Radio--
http://tarpley.net/world-crisis-radio/

Webster talking about Ireland on RT (video)
http://tarpley.net/2010/11/24/irish-bank-collapse-provoked-korean-crisis/

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amazon
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« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2010, 10:28:29 AM »

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