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Author Topic: Portugal next as EMU's Máquina Infernal keeps ticking by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard  (Read 280 times)
Letsbereal
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« on: November 22, 2010, 05:25:45 PM »

Portugal next as EMU's Máquina Infernal keeps ticking
22 November 2010
, by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard (The Telegraph)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/8149932/Portugal-next-as-EMUs-Maquina-Infernal-keeps-ticking.html

Excerpt:

The Portuguese seemed baffled - and pained - that investors should link their country in any way with Greece or Ireland. I am afraid they must come to terms very soon with some unpleasant facts.

So must Europe’s leaders, who comfort themselves that Greece is a special case because it cheated, and that Ireland is a special case because it allowed its "Anglo-Saxon" banks to go berserk. They have yet to acknowledge the deeper truth that monetary union has insidiously destabilised much of Europe and trapped a ring of largely innocent countries in depression.

In my experience it is hazardous for English-speaking journalists to write about Portugal without being accused of betraying the Aliança Velha, or pursuing a perfidious Palmerstonian agenda.

It is an article of faith - an Iberian trait - that Portugal is the victim of an orchestrated calumny intended to divert attention from a bankrupt Britain, or America. The rating agencies are deemed agents of Anglo-Saxon hegemony.

So with some trepidation, let me point out that Portugal will have a current account deficit of 10.3% of GDP this year, 8.8% in 2011, and 8.0% in 2012, according to the OECD.

That is to say, Portugal will be unable to pay its way in the world by a huge margin even after draconian austerity
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« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2010, 06:56:30 PM »

Failed Bailout Contagion: Portugal CDS 40 bps Wider On The Day, EURUSD Now Worse Than Friday Close
22 November 2010
, by Tyler Durden (Zero Hedge)
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/failed-bailout-contagion-portugal-cds-40-bps-wider-day-eurusd-now-worse-friday-close

Excerpt:

Although since Ireland is now also wider on the day, it is not really contagion. It is more failed bailout. And the EURUSD is now below Friday close.

The market now believes the Irish bailout has failed.
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