Fed eyes flexible approach to stimulusBy Robin Harding in Washington
Published: October 20 2010 21:02 | Last updated: October 20 2010 21:02
Officials at the US Federal Reserve are considering a fresh monetary stimulus that would combine guidance on the provisional scale of a new programme and a time frame for buying assets with the flexibility to adjust its size at regular meetings.
Although no decision has been made to launch a new round of quantitative easing, Fed officials are weighing an approach that allows more discretionary meeting-by-meeting decisions than the unconditional “shock and awe” stimulus it launched during the depths of the crisis in 2008 and 2009.
EDITOR’S CHOICE
Fed’s Beige Book reveals modest growth - Oct-20Money Supply - Feb-25Bank of England minutes show divisions - Oct-20Stakes are high as UK ponders QE2 - Oct-20Martin Wolf: UK and US seek own paths - Oct-19Global Insight: Fed bets bottom dollar on easing - Oct-17The US central bank is considering a return to buying assets because unemployment remains stubbornly high at 9.6 per cent and core inflation of about 1 per cent is below the Fed’s goal of about 2 per cent.
There is likely to be debate about whether to go ahead with further QE at a meeting on November 2-3 but many officials, including Ben Bernanke, chairman, have said there is a case for further action.
The framework under consideration would have three elements: guidance on the amount of purchases, a rate or time frame over which to buy them, and a condition under which the Fed would review the amount.
Some officials argue that the Fed should not commit itself and should decide on a small amount of purchases at each meeting. Others say only a large amount will move markets and so achieve the lower long-term interest rates the Fed wants.
By announcing a total or intermediate goal for purchases the Fed could shape market expectations but still leave itself flexibility to raise or lower the amount it eventually buys depending on economic data and how well the programme works.
Most officials say the initial goal for any purchases should be substantially smaller than the $1,725bn the Fed bought in the crisis conditions of 2008-09.
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http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/30fe59b6-dc7b-11df-a0b9-00144feabdc0.html?hpt=Sbin-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
So, the stimulus/QE II might be closer to 1.72 trillion than 500 billion, if you read between the lines according to the inside-scoops.
And, of course, you've got that genius (nutbar) Krugman calling for 10 trillion USD.
If it's 1 trillion plus, I think we really are looking at about a 10% devaluation (further -- the dollar has been devalued 23 % versus, say, the Yen since the Financial Crisis of 07'/08'/09' started).
It will merely happen or begin at the beginning of Nov. instead of Oct., so I think this prediction was simply off by dates.
Maybe the author was expecting a similar Fed move to have happened already.
Clearly the elites are already preparing a witches' brew of rebellion already -- if they are going to instigate one they might as well provocateur it as well.
see:
AOL Time Warner caught red-handed provoking civil war genocide in the US!!!
http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=189989.0