THE GRIM REAPER
“In an analysis written by economist Gary Gorton for the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s 2009 Financial Markets Conference titled, “Slapped in the Face by the Invisible Hand; Banking and the Panic of 2007″, the author shows that mortgage-related securities ballooned from $492.6 billion in 1996 to $3,071.1 in 2003, while asset backed securities (ABS) jumped from $168.4 billion in 1996 to $1,253.1 in 2006. All told, more than $20 trillion in securitized debt was sold between 1997 to 2007. ”
Now that Bernanke has given you $175,000 no interest, rotating loan; you expect that eventually he will ask for his money back. Right? So your only hope of saving your home, in the long run, is to engage in risky behavior, like dabbling the stock market. It’s like playing roulette, except you have nothing to lose since you are underwater anyway.
This is exactly what the financial institutions are doing with the Fed’s loans. They’re betting on equities and hoping they can avoid the Grim Reaper
Here’s how former hedge fund manager Andy Kessler summed it up last week in the Wall Street Journal:
“By buying U.S. Treasuries and mortgages to increase the monetary base by $1 trillion, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke didn’t put money directly into the stock market but he didn’t have to. With nowhere else to go, except maybe commodities, inflows into the stock market have been on a tear. Stock and bond funds saw net inflows of close to $150 billion since January. The dollars he cranked out didn’t go into the hard economy, but instead into tradable assets. In other words, Ben Bernanke has been the market.” (Andy Kessler, “The Bernanke Market” Wall Street Journal)
Only a small portion of the money that has gone into the stock market in the last 6 months (since the March lows) has come from money markets. The fed’s loans are being laundered into stocks via financial institutions that are rolling the dice for their own survival. The uptick in the markets has helped insolvent banks raise equity in the capital markets so they don’t have to grovel to Congress for another TARP bailout.
: Economy on a Scaffold When “Not Bad” is the New “Good” http://www.counterpunch.org/whitney08072009.html